Generative Narrative Networks for Strategic Analysis and Forecasting of Conflict

This project develops a framework for representing narratives as networks, and using these networks as a basis for modeling and simulation. When applied to a conflict narrative, the framework provides the basis for analyzing its important elements both present an missing, and forecasting its likely future course and outcomes.

Corman, S. R., Ruston, S. W, & Tong, H. (2019). Toward generative narrative models of the course and resolution of conflict. In P. Davis, A. O’Mahoney, & J. Pfautz (Eds.), Social-behavioral Modeling for Complex Systems (pp. 121-144). New York: John Wiley.